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Newcastle Jets
04:00
Macarthur
Sat 24 Oct, 04:00 McDonald Jones Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
45%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 45%Bookmakers 46% Edge -0.9 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 45% against a market price of 46% (-0.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Newcastle Jets

DLLDD
  • 17 Oct · A v Central Coast Mariners 2–2
  • 13 Oct · H v Gamba Osaka 1–3 (xG 0.80–2.01)
  • 15 Sep · A v Kashima 1–7 (xG 0.48–2.46)
  • 16 May · H v Sydney 1–1 (xG 2.10–2.68)
  • 9 May · A v Sydney 1–1 (xG 0.41–1.12)

Macarthur

WWLLW
  • 17 Oct · H v Perth Glory 2–1
  • 24 Apr · H v Wellington Phoenix 4–0 (xG 2.50–1.09)
  • 19 Apr · A v Adelaide United 1–3 (xG 0.93–1.87)
  • 12 Apr · A v Perth Glory 1–3 (xG 1.37–1.63)
  • 2 Apr · H v Newcastle Jets 3–2 (xG 1.38–1.14)

Head-to-head

Newcastle Jets 2 · draws 1 · Macarthur 3, 4.7 goals a game

  • 2 Apr 2026 · Macarthur 3–2 Newcastle Jets (A-League)
  • 22 Feb 2026 · Newcastle Jets 1–0 Macarthur (A-League)
  • 26 Dec 2025 · Newcastle Jets 4–5 Macarthur (A-League)
  • 28 Mar 2025 · Macarthur 3–3 Newcastle Jets (A-League)
  • 12 Jan 2025 · Newcastle Jets 1–3 Macarthur (A-League)
  • 25 Oct 2024 · Macarthur 1–2 Newcastle Jets (A-League)