Wellington Phoenix
02:00
Central Coast Mariners
Sun 25 Oct, 02:00
Sky Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
49%
Bookmakers 52%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 49%Bookmakers 52%
Edge -2.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 52% (-2.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWellington Phoenix
WLWLW
- 18 Oct · H v Melbourne Victory 2–1
- 24 Apr · A v Macarthur 0–4 (xG 1.09–2.50)
- 18 Apr · H v Western Sydney Wanderers 2–1 (xG 1.88–1.54)
- 12 Apr · A v Melbourne City 0–2 (xG 0.58–2.36)
- 5 Apr · A v Melbourne Victory 1–0 (xG 1.52–0.25)
Central Coast Mariners
DLWDL
- 17 Oct · H v Newcastle Jets 2–2
- 25 Apr · A v Newcastle Jets 0–4 (xG 0.40–3.06)
- 19 Apr · A v Auckland 1–0 (xG 1.84–1.43)
- 10 Apr · H v Brisbane Roar 2–2 (xG 0.36–1.50)
- 7 Apr · A v Melbourne City 1–2 (xG 1.14–2.13)
Head-to-head
Wellington Phoenix 2 · draws 2 · Central Coast Mariners 0, 2.3 goals a game
- 21 Dec 2025 · Wellington Phoenix 3–1 Central Coast Mariners (A-League)
- 2 Nov 2025 · Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Wellington Phoenix (A-League)
- 25 Jan 2025 · Wellington Phoenix 0–0 Central Coast Mariners (A-League)
- 10 Nov 2024 · Central Coast Mariners 0–3 Wellington Phoenix (A-League)