Al-Gharafa
2–2
Al Ahli Doha
Thu 22 Oct, 16:45
Al Gharafa Stadium
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
44%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 44%Bookmakers 48%
Edge -3.7 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 48% (-3.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl-Gharafa
DLLLD
- 18 Oct · H v Al-Rayyan SC 0–0 (xG 0.33–1.03)
- 12 Oct · H v Esteghlal FC 1–2 (xG 1.79–0.67)
- 8 Oct · A v Al Wakrah 2–3
- 15 Sep · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–2 (xG 0.48–1.80)
- 11 Sep · H v Lusail City 0–0
Al Ahli Doha
LWLWD
- 16 Oct · H v Al Wakrah 0–3 (xG 0.68–2.00)
- 10 Oct · H v Al-Sailiya 5–0 (xG 1.57–0.71)
- 11 Sep · A v Al-Rayyan SC 0–3
- 3 Sep · H v Qatar SC 1–0
- 28 Aug · H v Lusail City 3–3
Head-to-head
Al-Gharafa 2 · draws 0 · Al Ahli Doha 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 18 Mar 2026 · Al-Gharafa 1–4 Al Ahli Doha (Stars League)
- 25 Oct 2025 · Al Ahli Doha 1–3 Al-Gharafa (Stars League)
- 22 Jan 2025 · Al-Gharafa 2–0 Al Ahli Doha (Stars League)
- 18 Aug 2024 · Al Ahli Doha 1–0 Al-Gharafa (Stars League)