BG Pathum United
12:00
Chiangrai United
Sat 24 Oct, 12:00
True BG Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
58%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 58%Bookmakers 59%
Edge -1.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 58% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 58% against a market price of 59% (-1.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBG Pathum United
DLDLD
- 18 Oct · A v Sisaket United 1–1 (xG 0.90–1.10)
- 15 Oct · H v Adelaide United 1–2 (xG 1.25–1.39)
- 10 Oct · H v Ayutthaya FC 1–1 (xG 1.27–0.27)
- 20 Sep · A v Bangkok United 2–3
- 17 Sep · A v Home United 1–1
Chiangrai United
LLLDW
- 18 Oct · H v Ratchaburi 1–2 (xG 2.07–1.16)
- 11 Oct · A v Prachuap 1–2 (xG 2.01–1.54)
- 19 Sep · H v Sisaket United 0–1
- 11 Sep · A v Buriram United 1–1
- 5 Sep · H v Chonburi FC 1–0
Head-to-head
BG Pathum United 1 · draws 1 · Chiangrai United 2, 2.0 goals a game
- 31 Jan 2026 · BG Pathum United 2–2 Chiangrai United (Thai League 1)
- 21 Sep 2025 · Chiangrai United 1–0 BG Pathum United (Thai League 1)
- 18 Jan 2025 · Chiangrai United 1–0 BG Pathum United (Thai League 1)
- 28 Aug 2024 · BG Pathum United 2–0 Chiangrai United (Thai League 1)