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Carrarese
2–1
Modena
Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Stadio dei Marmi Federico La Penna, Italy

Our pick: Home win

Upset Watch Won
Home win
24%
Bookmakers 21%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
49%
Bookmakers 53%
Us 24%Bookmakers 21% Edge +3.4 pts Uncertainty ±1.7%

Upset Watch: underdog priced 3.4% too long by the market.

  • Home win: 24% against a market price of 21% (+3.4%).

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Carrarese

WLLLD
  • 11 Oct · A v Padova 2–0 (xG 1.63–0.72)
  • 19 Sep · H v Benevento 0–1 (xG 0.83–1.25)
  • 12 Sep · A v Catanzaro 0–1 (xG 0.57–2.44)
  • 5 Sep · H v Empoli 0–1 (xG 0.77–0.70)
  • 29 Aug · A v Ascoli 1–1 (xG 1.81–1.70)

Modena

WWDLW
  • 11 Oct · H v Hellas Verona 3–2 (xG 2.32–2.04)
  • 20 Sep · H v Empoli 2–1 (xG 1.72–0.71)
  • 12 Sep · A v Sudtirol 1–1 (xG 0.95–0.73)
  • 6 Sep · H v Avellino 0–1 (xG 1.91–0.46)
  • 28 Aug · A v Cremonese 3–0 (xG 0.68–0.39)

Head-to-head

Carrarese 1 · draws 1 · Modena 2, 1.8 goals a game

  • 14 Feb 2026 · Modena 2–0 Carrarese (Serie B)
  • 1 Oct 2025 · Carrarese 0–0 Modena (Serie B)
  • 4 May 2025 · Carrarese 2–1 Modena (Serie B)
  • 9 Nov 2024 · Modena 2–0 Carrarese (Serie B)