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Padova
1–2
Virtus Entella
Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Stadio Comunale Euganeo Dario Madonia, Italy

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
40%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 31%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 40%Bookmakers 38% Edge +1.8 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.8%).

  • Home win: 40% against a market price of 38% (+1.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Padova

LLWLD
  • 11 Oct · H v Carrarese 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.63)
  • 19 Sep · A v Palermo 1–2 (xG 1.18–2.51)
  • 12 Sep · H v Ascoli 1–0 (xG 0.98–2.04)
  • 6 Sep · A v Cremonese 1–3 (xG 1.30–2.46)
  • 29 Aug · H v Hellas Verona 1–1 (xG 0.94–1.62)

Virtus Entella

DDWDL
  • 10 Oct · H v Juve Stabia 1–1 (xG 1.11–0.99)
  • 19 Sep · A v Cremonese 0–0 (xG 1.02–1.01)
  • 11 Sep · A v Pisa 4–1 (xG 1.71–1.08)
  • 6 Sep · H v Vicenza Virtus 2–2 (xG 0.94–1.50)
  • 29 Aug · H v Cesena 1–2 (xG 0.67–0.47)

Head-to-head

Padova 1 · draws 0 · Virtus Entella 1, 2.0 goals a game

  • 25 Apr 2026 · Virtus Entella 1–0 Padova (Serie B)
  • 21 Sep 2025 · Padova 2–1 Virtus Entella (Serie B)