Catanzaro
15:15
Ascoli
Sat 24 Oct, 15:15
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Andrea Calzavara
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
37%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 37%Bookmakers 36%
Edge +0.6 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.6% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 37% against a market price of 36% (+0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCatanzaro
DLLWL
- 16 Oct · A v Hellas Verona 2–2 (xG 1.24–1.97)
- 11 Oct · H v Mantova 1–3 (xG 0.96–2.73)
- 19 Sep · A v Sampdoria 1–2 (xG 1.43–2.83)
- 12 Sep · H v Carrarese 1–0 (xG 2.44–0.57)
- 5 Sep · A v Sudtirol 0–2 (xG 0.61–0.41)
Ascoli
DDWLW
- 17 Oct · H v Empoli 1–1 (xG 1.59–0.82)
- 10 Oct · A v Sudtirol 0–0 (xG 0.58–1.02)
- 19 Sep · H v Avellino 3–1 (xG 1.06–0.85)
- 12 Sep · A v Padova 0–1 (xG 2.04–0.98)
- 5 Sep · H v Benevento 1–0 (xG 2.37–0.07)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.