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Catanzaro
1–6
Ascoli
Sat 24 Oct, 15:15 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo Andrea Calzavara, Italy

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
37%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 37%Bookmakers 36% Edge +0.6 pts Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.6% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 37% against a market price of 36% (+0.6%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Catanzaro

DLLWL
  • 16 Oct · A v Hellas Verona 2–2 (xG 1.24–1.97)
  • 11 Oct · H v Mantova 1–3 (xG 0.96–2.73)
  • 19 Sep · A v Sampdoria 1–2 (xG 1.43–2.83)
  • 12 Sep · H v Carrarese 1–0 (xG 2.44–0.57)
  • 5 Sep · A v Sudtirol 0–2 (xG 0.61–0.41)

Ascoli

DDWLW
  • 17 Oct · H v Empoli 1–1 (xG 1.59–0.82)
  • 10 Oct · A v Sudtirol 0–0 (xG 0.58–1.02)
  • 19 Sep · H v Avellino 3–1 (xG 1.06–0.85)
  • 12 Sep · A v Padova 0–1 (xG 2.04–0.98)
  • 5 Sep · H v Benevento 1–0 (xG 2.37–0.07)

Head-to-head

No previous meeting stored.