Empoli
18:30
Vicenza Virtus
Fri 23 Oct, 18:30
Carlo Castellani
Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
41%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 41%Bookmakers 40%
Edge +1.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.2% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 41% against a market price of 40% (+1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEmpoli
DLLLW
- 17 Oct · A v Ascoli 1–1 (xG 0.82–1.59)
- 10 Oct · H v Palermo 2–4 (xG 1.91–4.91)
- 20 Sep · A v Modena 1–2 (xG 0.71–1.72)
- 11 Sep · H v Arezzo 0–1 (xG 0.48–1.08)
- 5 Sep · A v Carrarese 1–0 (xG 0.70–0.77)
Vicenza Virtus
DLLDD
- 17 Oct · A v Benevento 2–2 (xG 1.23–2.00)
- 10 Oct · H v Pisa 0–3 (xG 0.61–2.74)
- 20 Sep · A v Hellas Verona 1–2 (xG 0.90–0.97)
- 12 Sep · H v Juve Stabia 1–1 (xG 0.57–1.50)
- 6 Sep · A v Virtus Entella 2–2 (xG 1.50–0.94)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.