Empoli
0–2
Vicenza Virtus
Fri 23 Oct, 18:30
Carlo Castellani
Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
40%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 40%Bookmakers 37%
Edge +2.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.2% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 37% (+2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEmpoli
DLLLW
- 17 Oct · A v Ascoli 1–1 (xG 0.82–1.59)
- 10 Oct · H v Palermo 2–4 (xG 1.91–4.91)
- 20 Sep · A v Modena 1–2 (xG 0.71–1.72)
- 11 Sep · H v Arezzo 0–1 (xG 0.48–1.08)
- 5 Sep · A v Carrarese 1–0 (xG 0.70–0.77)
Vicenza Virtus
DLLDD
- 17 Oct · A v Benevento 2–2 (xG 1.23–2.00)
- 10 Oct · H v Pisa 0–3 (xG 0.61–2.74)
- 20 Sep · A v Hellas Verona 1–2 (xG 0.90–0.97)
- 12 Sep · H v Juve Stabia 1–1 (xG 0.57–1.50)
- 6 Sep · A v Virtus Entella 2–2 (xG 1.50–0.94)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.