Modena
3–0
Cesena
Sat 24 Oct, 13:00
Alberto Braglia
Dario Madonia
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
54%
Bookmakers 62%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 54%Bookmakers 62%
Edge -7.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 54% against a market price of 62% (-7.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsModena
LWWDL
- 17 Oct · A v Carrarese 1–2 (xG 1.03–1.78)
- 11 Oct · H v Hellas Verona 3–2 (xG 2.32–2.04)
- 20 Sep · H v Empoli 2–1 (xG 1.72–0.71)
- 12 Sep · A v Sudtirol 1–1 (xG 0.95–0.73)
- 6 Sep · H v Avellino 0–1 (xG 1.91–0.46)
Cesena
DLDDD
- 18 Oct · H v Avellino 1–1 (xG 2.17–1.19)
- 10 Oct · A v Benevento 0–2 (xG 0.53–1.74)
- 18 Sep · A v Juve Stabia 1–1
- 12 Sep · H v Cremonese 2–2 (xG 1.15–1.23)
- 6 Sep · H v Mantova 1–1 (xG 1.68–0.69)
Head-to-head
Modena 0 · draws 2 · Cesena 2, 1.5 goals a game
- 7 Mar 2026 · Modena 0–0 Cesena (Serie B)
- 28 Nov 2025 · Cesena 1–0 Modena (Serie B)
- 13 May 2025 · Modena 0–1 Cesena (Serie B)
- 13 Sep 2024 · Cesena 2–2 Modena (Serie B)