Palermo
14:00
Carrarese
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Stadio Renzo Barbera
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
65%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
15%
Bookmakers 15%
Us 65%Bookmakers 65%
Edge -0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-2.6% expected per unit).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 65% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPalermo
WWWDW
- 17 Oct · A v Mantova 2–0 (xG 2.00–1.92)
- 10 Oct · A v Empoli 4–2 (xG 4.91–1.91)
- 19 Sep · H v Padova 2–1 (xG 2.51–1.18)
- 13 Sep · A v Avellino 1–1 (xG 0.55–1.87)
- 7 Sep · H v Sampdoria 3–1 (xG 1.60–1.70)
Carrarese
WWLLL
- 17 Oct · H v Modena 2–1 (xG 1.78–1.03)
- 11 Oct · A v Padova 2–0 (xG 1.63–0.72)
- 19 Sep · H v Benevento 0–1 (xG 0.83–1.25)
- 12 Sep · A v Catanzaro 0–1 (xG 0.57–2.44)
- 5 Sep · H v Empoli 0–1 (xG 0.77–0.70)
Head-to-head
Palermo 2 · draws 1 · Carrarese 1, 2.3 goals a game
- 8 Mar 2026 · Carrarese 0–1 Palermo (Serie B)
- 29 Nov 2025 · Palermo 5–0 Carrarese (Serie B)
- 13 May 2025 · Palermo 1–1 Carrarese (Serie B)
- 7 Dec 2024 · Carrarese 1–0 Palermo (Serie B)