Sudtirol
1–1
Sampdoria
Sat 24 Oct, 13:00
Stadio Druso
Valerio Crezzini, Italy
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
36%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 31%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 36%
Us 36%Bookmakers 33%
Edge +3.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 36% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 36% against a market price of 33% (+3.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSudtirol
LDWDW
- 18 Oct · A v Juve Stabia 0–3 (xG 0.30–2.77)
- 10 Oct · H v Ascoli 0–0 (xG 1.02–0.58)
- 20 Sep · A v Arezzo 4–1 (xG 1.09–1.73)
- 12 Sep · H v Modena 1–1 (xG 0.73–0.95)
- 5 Sep · H v Catanzaro 2–0 (xG 0.41–0.61)
Sampdoria
LLWLL
- 18 Oct · H v Arezzo 1–2 (xG 2.70–0.97)
- 9 Oct · A v Avellino 1–4 (xG 0.52–2.27)
- 19 Sep · H v Catanzaro 2–1 (xG 2.83–1.43)
- 13 Sep · A v Mantova 0–2 (xG 1.75–1.13)
- 7 Sep · A v Palermo 1–3 (xG 1.70–1.60)
Head-to-head
Sudtirol 2 · draws 0 · Sampdoria 2, 2.3 goals a game
- 1 May 2026 · Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol (Serie B)
- 31 Aug 2025 · Sudtirol 3–1 Sampdoria (Serie B)
- 15 Feb 2025 · Sudtirol 2–1 Sampdoria (Serie B)
- 21 Sep 2024 · Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol (Serie B)