Ascoli
19:00
Sampdoria
Tue 27 Oct, 19:00
Cino e Lillo Del Duca
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 45%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +3.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 42% (+3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAscoli
WDDWL
- 24 Oct · A v Catanzaro 6–1
- 17 Oct · H v Empoli 1–1 (xG 1.59–0.82)
- 10 Oct · A v Sudtirol 0–0 (xG 0.58–1.02)
- 19 Sep · H v Avellino 3–1 (xG 1.06–0.85)
- 12 Sep · A v Padova 0–1 (xG 2.04–0.98)
Sampdoria
DLLWL
- 24 Oct · A v Sudtirol 1–1
- 18 Oct · H v Arezzo 1–2 (xG 2.70–0.97)
- 9 Oct · A v Avellino 1–4 (xG 0.52–2.27)
- 19 Sep · H v Catanzaro 2–1 (xG 2.83–1.43)
- 13 Sep · A v Mantova 0–2 (xG 1.75–1.13)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.