Carrarese
19:00
Arezzo
Wed 28 Oct, 19:00
Stadio dei Marmi
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
44%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 44%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +1.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.7% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 42% (+1.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCarrarese
LWWLL
- 25 Oct · A v Palermo 1–2 (xG 1.32–1.93)
- 17 Oct · H v Modena 2–1 (xG 1.78–1.03)
- 11 Oct · A v Padova 2–0 (xG 1.63–0.72)
- 19 Sep · H v Benevento 0–1 (xG 0.83–1.25)
- 12 Sep · A v Catanzaro 0–1 (xG 0.57–2.44)
Arezzo
LWDLW
- 24 Oct · H v Benevento 0–3 (xG 0.41–2.72)
- 18 Oct · A v Sampdoria 2–1 (xG 0.97–2.70)
- 10 Oct · H v Cremonese 0–0 (xG 1.01–0.21)
- 20 Sep · H v Sudtirol 1–4 (xG 1.73–1.09)
- 11 Sep · A v Empoli 1–0 (xG 1.08–0.48)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.