Cesena
19:00
Empoli
Tue 27 Oct, 19:00
Dino Manuzzi
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
47%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 47%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 47% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCesena
LDLDD
- 24 Oct · A v Modena 0–3
- 18 Oct · H v Avellino 1–1 (xG 2.17–1.19)
- 10 Oct · A v Benevento 0–2 (xG 0.53–1.74)
- 18 Sep · A v Juve Stabia 1–1
- 12 Sep · H v Cremonese 2–2 (xG 1.15–1.23)
Empoli
LDLLL
- 23 Oct · H v Vicenza Virtus 0–2 (xG 0.57–2.01)
- 17 Oct · A v Ascoli 1–1 (xG 0.82–1.59)
- 10 Oct · H v Palermo 2–4 (xG 1.91–4.91)
- 20 Sep · A v Modena 1–2 (xG 0.71–1.72)
- 11 Sep · H v Arezzo 0–1 (xG 0.48–1.08)
Head-to-head
Cesena 0 · draws 1 · Empoli 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 28 Feb 2026 · Empoli 1–1 Cesena (Serie B)
- 10 Jan 2026 · Cesena 0–1 Empoli (Serie B)