Vicenza Virtus
19:00
Modena
Tue 27 Oct, 19:00
Stadio Romeo Menti
Daniele Perenzoni
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
30%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 46%
Us 43%Bookmakers 46%
Edge -3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 43% against a market price of 46% (-3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVicenza Virtus
WDLLD
- 23 Oct · A v Empoli 2–0 (xG 2.01–0.57)
- 17 Oct · A v Benevento 2–2 (xG 1.23–2.00)
- 10 Oct · H v Pisa 0–3 (xG 0.61–2.74)
- 20 Sep · A v Hellas Verona 1–2 (xG 0.90–0.97)
- 12 Sep · H v Juve Stabia 1–1 (xG 0.57–1.50)
Modena
WLWWD
- 24 Oct · H v Cesena 3–0 (xG 2.19–0.18)
- 17 Oct · A v Carrarese 1–2 (xG 1.03–1.78)
- 11 Oct · H v Hellas Verona 3–2 (xG 2.32–2.04)
- 20 Sep · H v Empoli 2–1 (xG 1.72–0.71)
- 12 Sep · A v Sudtirol 1–1 (xG 0.95–0.73)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.