Mantova
19:00
Cremonese
Tue 27 Oct, 19:00
Stadio Danilo Martelli
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
44%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 44%Bookmakers 40%
Edge +4.2 pts
Uncertainty ±4.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +4.2% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 40% (+4.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMantova
WLWDW
- 24 Oct · A v Virtus Entella 1–0
- 17 Oct · H v Palermo 0–2 (xG 1.92–2.00)
- 11 Oct · A v Catanzaro 3–1 (xG 2.73–0.96)
- 20 Sep · H v Pisa 2–2 (xG 1.98–2.18)
- 13 Sep · H v Sampdoria 2–0 (xG 1.13–1.75)
Cremonese
LLDDD
- 24 Oct · H v Juve Stabia 0–1
- 17 Oct · A v Pisa 1–3 (xG 0.51–2.39)
- 10 Oct · A v Arezzo 0–0 (xG 0.21–1.01)
- 19 Sep · H v Virtus Entella 0–0 (xG 1.01–1.02)
- 12 Sep · A v Cesena 2–2 (xG 1.23–1.15)
Head-to-head
Mantova 1 · draws 0 · Cremonese 1, 3.5 goals a game
- 25 Apr 2025 · Cremonese 4–2 Mantova (Serie B)
- 9 Nov 2024 · Mantova 1–0 Cremonese (Serie B)