Padova
19:00
Sudtirol
Tue 27 Oct, 19:00
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsBankerUs 73%Books 71% Edge +1.8 pts Best odds 1.40 (Betano) Expected return +1.9%
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 76%Books 77% Best odds 1.26 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 41%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 39%Bookmakers 41%
Edge -1.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 41% (-1.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPadova
WLLLW
- 24 Oct · A v Avellino 1–0 (xG 0.86–2.18)
- 17 Oct · H v Virtus Entella 1–2 (xG 0.79–1.73)
- 11 Oct · H v Carrarese 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.63)
- 19 Sep · A v Palermo 1–2 (xG 1.18–2.51)
- 12 Sep · H v Ascoli 1–0 (xG 0.98–2.04)
Sudtirol
DLDWD
- 24 Oct · H v Sampdoria 1–1 (xG 1.84–0.63)
- 18 Oct · A v Juve Stabia 0–3 (xG 0.30–2.77)
- 10 Oct · H v Ascoli 0–0 (xG 1.02–0.58)
- 20 Sep · A v Arezzo 4–1 (xG 1.09–1.73)
- 12 Sep · H v Modena 1–1 (xG 0.73–0.95)
Head-to-head
Padova 0 · draws 1 · Sudtirol 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 25 Jan 2026 · Sudtirol 3–0 Padova (Serie B)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Padova 1–1 Sudtirol (Serie B)