Pisa
18:00
Palermo
Wed 28 Oct, 18:00
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
36%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 36%Bookmakers 34%
Edge +2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±3.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 36% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.3% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 36% against a market price of 34% (+2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPisa
DWWDL
- 25 Oct · A v Hellas Verona 1–1 (xG 1.55–0.69)
- 17 Oct · H v Cremonese 3–1 (xG 2.39–0.51)
- 10 Oct · A v Vicenza Virtus 3–0 (xG 2.74–0.61)
- 20 Sep · A v Mantova 2–2 (xG 2.18–1.98)
- 11 Sep · H v Virtus Entella 1–4 (xG 1.08–1.71)
Palermo
WWWWD
- 25 Oct · H v Carrarese 2–1 (xG 1.93–1.32)
- 17 Oct · A v Mantova 2–0 (xG 2.00–1.92)
- 10 Oct · A v Empoli 4–2 (xG 4.91–1.91)
- 19 Sep · H v Padova 2–1 (xG 2.51–1.18)
- 13 Sep · A v Avellino 1–1 (xG 0.55–1.87)
Head-to-head
Pisa 2 · draws 0 · Palermo 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 31 Jan 2025 · Palermo 1–2 Pisa (Serie B)
- 24 Aug 2024 · Pisa 2–0 Palermo (Serie B)