Pisa
18:00
Palermo
Wed 28 Oct, 18:00
Arena Garibaldi
Daniele Chiffi
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 81%Books 80% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 41%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 38%Bookmakers 41%
Edge -2.2 pts
Uncertainty ±4.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 41% (-2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPisa
DWWDL
- 25 Oct · A v Hellas Verona 1–1 (xG 1.55–0.69)
- 17 Oct · H v Cremonese 3–1 (xG 2.39–0.51)
- 10 Oct · A v Vicenza Virtus 3–0 (xG 2.74–0.61)
- 20 Sep · A v Mantova 2–2 (xG 2.18–1.98)
- 11 Sep · H v Virtus Entella 1–4 (xG 1.08–1.71)
Palermo
WWWWD
- 25 Oct · H v Carrarese 2–1 (xG 1.93–1.32)
- 17 Oct · A v Mantova 2–0 (xG 2.00–1.92)
- 10 Oct · A v Empoli 4–2 (xG 4.91–1.91)
- 19 Sep · H v Padova 2–1 (xG 2.51–1.18)
- 13 Sep · A v Avellino 1–1 (xG 0.55–1.87)
Head-to-head
Pisa 2 · draws 0 · Palermo 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 31 Jan 2025 · Palermo 1–2 Pisa (Serie B)
- 24 Aug 2024 · Pisa 2–0 Palermo (Serie B)