Al-Ittihad FC
17:30
Al Shabab
Sat 19 Dec, 17:30
King Abdullah Sports City
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 55%Bookmakers 53%
Edge +2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 53% (+2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl-Ittihad FC
WLLDW
- 20 Oct · A v Al-Ettifaq 4–1 (xG 2.98–1.83)
- 13 Oct · H v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–2 (xG 1.54–1.33)
- 10 Oct · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–3 (xG 1.14–2.26)
- 14 Sep · A v Al Shamal 1–1
- 11 Sep · A v Al-Faisaly FC 3–1 (xG 1.29–1.11)
Al Shabab
WDWDL
- 22 Oct · A v Al-Fateh 3–1 (xG 3.43–1.07)
- 19 Oct · H v Al-Faisaly FC 2–2 (xG 1.31–1.56)
- 11 Oct · H v Al Taawon 3–0 (xG 2.34–0.90)
- 12 Sep · H v Al-Fayha 0–0 (xG 1.09–0.54)
- 9 Sep · A v Al Kholood 1–2 (xG 0.62–2.19)
Head-to-head
Al-Ittihad FC 3 · draws 0 · Al Shabab 1, 3.8 goals a game
- 17 May 2026 · Al Shabab 3–2 Al-Ittihad FC (Pro League)
- 27 Dec 2025 · Al-Ittihad FC 2–0 Al Shabab (Pro League)
- 20 May 2025 · Al Shabab 2–3 Al-Ittihad FC (Pro League)
- 22 Jan 2025 · Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al Shabab (Pro League)