Al-Nassr
18:00
NEOM
Tue 20 Oct, 18:00
Al-Awwal Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
66%
Bookmakers 67%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
14%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 66%Bookmakers 67%
Edge -0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-2.6% expected per unit).
- Home win: 66% against a market price of 67% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl-Nassr
WWLDW
- 12 Oct · H v Neftchi 3–1 (xG 2.20–0.54)
- 9 Oct · H v Al Diriyah 3–0 (xG 3.26–0.77)
- 15 Sep · A v Al Ain 0–4 (xG 1.28–2.05)
- 12 Sep · A v Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1 (xG 1.08–0.38)
- 9 Sep · H v Abha 2–1 (xG 1.34–0.26)
NEOM
LDWWW
- 17 Oct · H v Al-Ettifaq 0–1 (xG 0.74–0.16)
- 10 Oct · A v Al-Hazm 1–1 (xG 1.87–0.66)
- 13 Sep · H v Al-Fateh 4–2 (xG 2.32–1.26)
- 7 Sep · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 (xG 1.35–1.81)
- 3 Sep · H v Al Khaleej Saihat 3–0 (xG 1.33–0.22)
Head-to-head
Al-Nassr 2 · draws 0 · NEOM 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 7 Mar 2026 · Al-Nassr 1–0 NEOM (Pro League)
- 8 Nov 2025 · NEOM 1–3 Al-Nassr (Pro League)