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Al-Ahli Jeddah
4–1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Sports City Stadium Abdullah Dhafer Al-Shehri, Saudi Arabia

Match result: no bet

Won
Home win
74%
Bookmakers 73%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
10%
Bookmakers 10%
Us 74%Bookmakers 73% Edge +0.6 pts Uncertainty ±1.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: one factor carries 77% of the edge, so it is fragile.

  • Home win: 74% against a market price of 73% (+0.6%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Al-Ahli Jeddah

WWWDW
  • 19 Oct · A v Al-Fayha 3–2 (xG 4.18–0.70)
  • 12 Oct · A v Al-Wasl FC 3–1 (xG 1.32–0.96)
  • 9 Oct · A v Al-Fateh 4–0 (xG 2.54–0.45)
  • 14 Sep · H v Pakhtakor 1–1
  • 11 Sep · H v Al-Hazm 3–1 (xG 5.78–1.78)

Al Khaleej Saihat

WWDDD
  • 18 Oct · A v Al-Fateh 3–2 (xG 0.75–0.57)
  • 15 Oct · H v Al-Fayha 2–0 (xG 1.74–0.87)
  • 10 Oct · A v Al-Ettifaq 1–1 (xG 2.67–2.02)
  • 12 Sep · H v Al-Nassr 1–1 (xG 0.38–1.08)
  • 7 Sep · H v Al Riyadh 0–0 (xG 0.50–0.32)

Head-to-head

Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 · draws 1 · Al Khaleej Saihat 0, 4.3 goals a game

  • 20 May 2026 · Al Khaleej Saihat 1–4 Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League)
  • 20 Jan 2026 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–1 Al Khaleej Saihat (Pro League)
  • 7 Mar 2025 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–2 Al Khaleej Saihat (Pro League)
  • 18 Oct 2024 · Al Khaleej Saihat 0–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League)