Al-Ittihad FC
15:30
Al Diriyah
Fri 23 Oct, 15:30
Alinma Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 53%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +4.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +4.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 49% (+4.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl-Ittihad FC
WLLDW
- 20 Oct · A v Al-Ettifaq 4–1 (xG 2.98–1.83)
- 13 Oct · H v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–2 (xG 1.54–1.33)
- 10 Oct · A v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–3 (xG 1.14–2.26)
- 14 Sep · A v Al Shamal 1–1
- 11 Sep · A v Al-Faisaly FC 3–1 (xG 1.29–1.11)
Al Diriyah
WDLDW
- 20 Oct · H v Al Riyadh 1–0 (xG 1.31–0.91)
- 17 Oct · H v Al Taawon 1–1 (xG 1.97–0.88)
- 9 Oct · A v Al-Nassr 0–3 (xG 0.77–3.26)
- 13 Sep · H v Abha 0–0 (xG 1.35–0.68)
- 9 Sep · A v Al-Fateh 2–1 (xG 2.53–1.28)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.