Al-Nassr
18:00
Al Kholood
Thu 29 Oct, 18:00
Al-Awwal Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 87%Books 88% Best odds 1.13 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
80%
Bookmakers 81%
Draw
13%
Bookmakers 12%
Away win
7%
Bookmakers 7%
Us 80%Bookmakers 81%
Edge -0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±1.1%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 80% against a market price of 81% (-0.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl-Nassr
WWWWL
- 23 Oct · A v Al-Faisaly FC 3–1 (xG 0.62–1.28)
- 20 Oct · H v NEOM 1–0 (xG 2.37–0.45)
- 12 Oct · H v Neftchi 3–1 (xG 2.20–0.54)
- 9 Oct · H v Al Diriyah 3–0 (xG 3.26–0.77)
- 15 Sep · A v Al Ain 0–4 (xG 1.28–2.05)
Al Kholood
LLLLW
- 24 Oct · H v Al-Ettifaq 0–3 (xG 1.94–1.32)
- 15 Oct · A v Al-Faisaly FC 2–3 (xG 2.80–1.87)
- 9 Oct · H v Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–5 (xG 2.40–5.48)
- 13 Sep · A v Al Riyadh 0–2 (xG 0.69–1.06)
- 9 Sep · H v Al Shabab 2–1 (xG 2.19–0.62)
Head-to-head
Al-Nassr 3 · draws 1 · Al Kholood 0, 3.8 goals a game
- 30 Jan 2026 · Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Nassr (Pro League)
- 14 Sep 2025 · Al-Nassr 2–0 Al Kholood (Pro League)
- 14 Mar 2025 · Al-Nassr 3–1 Al Kholood (Pro League)
- 25 Oct 2024 · Al Kholood 3–3 Al-Nassr (Pro League)