Al Riyadh
18:00
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Thu 29 Oct, 18:00
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 86%Books 88% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Most likely: Away win
Home win
10%
Bookmakers 10%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
73%
Bookmakers 74%
Us 73%Bookmakers 74%
Edge -1.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Away win: 73% against a market price of 74% (-1.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl Riyadh
WLDWD
- 24 Oct · H v Al Taawon 2–1 (xG 1.57–0.47)
- 20 Oct · A v Al Diriyah 0–1 (xG 0.91–1.31)
- 11 Oct · A v Al-Fayha 1–1 (xG 1.50–0.61)
- 13 Sep · H v Al Kholood 2–0 (xG 1.06–0.69)
- 7 Sep · A v Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 (xG 0.32–0.50)
Al-Qadisiyah FC
DLWWD
- 26 Oct · H v Al Sadd 1–1 (xG 0.84–1.44)
- 23 Oct · H v Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–3 (xG 0.84–2.89)
- 20 Oct · A v Al Taawon 1–0 (xG 2.15–0.45)
- 16 Oct · H v Abha 2–1 (xG 1.73–0.34)
- 12 Oct · A v Pakhtakor 1–1 (xG 1.52–1.75)
Head-to-head
Al Riyadh 1 · draws 0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 3, 3.0 goals a game
- 29 Apr 2026 · Al Riyadh 0–4 Al-Qadisiyah FC (Pro League)
- 4 Jan 2026 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–0 Al Riyadh (Pro League)
- 2 Mar 2025 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–0 Al Riyadh (Pro League)
- 4 Oct 2024 · Al Riyadh 2–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC (Pro League)