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Manchester United W
18:00
Manchester City W
Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Leigh Sports Village
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
18%
Bookmakers 17%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
62%
Bookmakers 63%
Us 62%Bookmakers 63% Edge -0.4 pts Uncertainty ±1.6%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.7% expected per unit).

  • Away win: 62% against a market price of 63% (-0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Manchester United W

WWWDL
  • 18 Oct · A v Charlton Athletic W 3–1 (xG 2.23–0.34)
  • 3 Oct · H v Liverpool W 1–0
  • 27 Sep · H v West Ham W 2–1
  • 19 Sep · A v Arsenal W 1–1
  • 13 Sep · H v Chelsea W 0–5

Manchester City W

WWWWW
  • 18 Oct · H v Brighton W 3–2 (xG 2.37–1.03)
  • 4 Oct · H v Arsenal W 4–2
  • 26 Sep · A v Charlton Athletic W 1–0
  • 18 Sep · H v Liverpool W 4–2
  • 13 Sep · A v Aston Villa W 4–1

Head-to-head

Manchester United W 1 · draws 1 · Manchester City W 2, 4.0 goals a game

  • 28 Mar 2026 · Manchester United W 0–3 Manchester City W (FA WSL)
  • 15 Nov 2025 · Manchester City W 3–0 Manchester United W (FA WSL)
  • 4 May 2025 · Manchester United W 2–2 Manchester City W (FA WSL)
  • 19 Jan 2025 · Manchester City W 2–4 Manchester United W (FA WSL)