Everton W
14:00
Aston Villa W
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Goodison Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 46%Bookmakers 45%
Edge +0.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 45% (+0.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEverton W
LWLWW
- 18 Oct · A v London City Lionesses W 1–2 (xG 0.66–1.32)
- 4 Oct · H v Birmingham City W 2–1
- 27 Sep · A v Liverpool W 0–2
- 20 Sep · A v West Ham W 1–0
- 13 Sep · H v Charlton Athletic W 1–0
Aston Villa W
WDLDL
- 18 Oct · H v Liverpool W 2–1 (xG 0.42–0.99)
- 4 Oct · H v Crystal Palace W 1–1
- 27 Sep · A v Tottenham Hotspur W 0–4
- 20 Sep · A v Brighton W 1–1
- 13 Sep · H v Manchester City W 1–4
Head-to-head
Everton W 2 · draws 2 · Aston Villa W 0, 3.3 goals a game
- 1 Feb 2026 · Everton W 2–1 Aston Villa W (FA WSL)
- 2 Nov 2025 · Aston Villa W 3–3 Everton W (FA WSL)
- 2 Mar 2025 · Aston Villa W 0–2 Everton W (FA WSL)
- 18 Jan 2025 · Everton W 1–1 Aston Villa W (FA WSL)