Zamalek SC
17:00
El Mokawloon
Wed 28 Oct, 17:00
Cairo International Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 81%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 50%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +1.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.6% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 49% (+1.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsZamalek SC
WWWLW
- 24 Oct · H v APR 1–0
- 20 Oct · A v Asyut Petrol 1–0 (xG 1.36–1.01)
- 16 Oct · A v APR 1–0
- 11 Oct · H v Al Ahly 0–2 (xG 0.53–0.78)
- 16 Sep · A v Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 (xG 1.26–0.66)
El Mokawloon
WDWDW
- 19 Oct · A v Enppi 3–0 (xG 0.85–1.31)
- 12 Oct · H v Masr 1–1 (xG 0.47–1.53)
- 15 Sep · A v Wadi Degla 2–0 (xG 1.74–1.25)
- 9 Sep · H v Al Ahly 1–1 (xG 1.14–1.29)
- 2 Sep · A v El Gouna FC 1–0 (xG 1.61–1.14)
Head-to-head
Zamalek SC 0 · draws 1 · El Mokawloon 0, 0.0 goals a game
- 16 Aug 2025 · Zamalek SC 0–0 El Mokawloon (Premier League)