Kyoto Sanga
10:00
Newcastle Jets
Tue 27 Oct, 10:00
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Kim Jong-hyeok
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
64%
Bookmakers 69%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 13%
Us 64%Bookmakers 69%
Edge -5.8 pts
Uncertainty ±3.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-8.3% expected per unit).
- Home win: 64% against a market price of 69% (-5.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsKyoto Sanga
DDLWL
- 24 Oct · A v Gamba Osaka 2–2 (xG 1.35–1.44)
- 21 Oct · H v Kashima 2–2 (xG 0.37–1.39)
- 17 Oct · A v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–3 (xG 0.75–1.94)
- 13 Oct · H v Ratchaburi 1–0 (xG 0.92–0.27)
- 10 Oct · H v Machida Zelvia 0–1 (xG 1.77–1.43)
Newcastle Jets
DDLLD
- 24 Oct · H v Macarthur 1–1
- 17 Oct · A v Central Coast Mariners 2–2
- 13 Oct · H v Gamba Osaka 1–3 (xG 0.80–2.01)
- 15 Sep · A v Kashima 1–7 (xG 0.48–2.46)
- 16 May · H v Sydney 1–1 (xG 2.10–2.68)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.