Beijing Guoan
12:15
Jeonbuk Motors
Tue 27 Oct, 12:15
Beijing Workers' Stadium
Mooud Bonyadifard
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
43%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 43%Bookmakers 40%
Edge +3.0 pts
Uncertainty ±3.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 43% against a market price of 40% (+3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBeijing Guoan
WWWWW
- 24 Oct · A v Henan Jianye 4–3
- 18 Oct · H v Qingdao Youth Island 1–0
- 13 Oct · A v Buriram United 1–0 (xG 0.64–1.00)
- 9 Oct · A v Qingdao Jonoon 3–0
- 15 Sep · H v Pohang Steelers 3–1 (xG 1.75–1.05)
Jeonbuk Motors
DWLLD
- 24 Oct · A v FC Anyang 1–1
- 18 Oct · H v Jeju United FC 3–2
- 14 Oct · A v Vissel Kobe 0–2 (xG 1.77–1.26)
- 9 Oct · A v Daejeon Citizen 1–2
- 20 Sep · H v Gwangju FC 2–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.