Ratchaburi
12:15
Kashiwa Reysol
Tue 27 Oct, 12:15
Dragon Solar Park
Mohammed Ahmed Al Shammari
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 85% Best odds 1.15 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
16%
Bookmakers 14%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
64%
Bookmakers 69%
Us 64%Bookmakers 69%
Edge -4.2 pts
Uncertainty ±3.1%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-6.1% expected per unit).
- Away win: 64% against a market price of 69% (-4.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRatchaburi
LWLWD
- 24 Oct · H v Chonburi FC 1–2 (xG 0.82–0.42)
- 18 Oct · A v Chiangrai United 2–1 (xG 1.16–2.07)
- 13 Oct · A v Kyoto Sanga 0–1 (xG 0.27–0.92)
- 9 Oct · H v Sukhothai FC 6–0
- 20 Sep · A v Rayong FC 1–1
Kashiwa Reysol
WDLWW
- 24 Oct · A v Kashima 3–2 (xG 0.67–1.57)
- 21 Oct · A v FC Tokyo 0–0 (xG 1.08–1.69)
- 17 Oct · H v Nagoya Grampus 1–3 (xG 1.03–1.07)
- 14 Oct · H v Port FC 5–1 (xG 2.96–0.68)
- 9 Oct · H v Vissel Kobe 4–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.