Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
16:00
Esteghlal FC
Tue 27 Oct, 16:00
Al-Rashid Stadium
Khalid Al-Turais
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 75%Books 74% Best odds 1.31 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 55%Bookmakers 54%
Edge +1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.3% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 54% (+1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsShabab Al Ahli Dubai
WWWDL
- 17 Oct · H v Al Ain 2–0 (xG 3.08–2.81)
- 13 Oct · A v Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 (xG 1.33–1.54)
- 14 Sep · H v Tractor Sazi 1–0
- 10 Sep · A v Dubai United 1–1
- 5 Sep · H v Al-Jazira 1–3
Esteghlal FC
WWLLW
- 12 Oct · A v Al-Gharafa 2–1 (xG 0.67–1.79)
- 14 Sep · H v Al Sadd 3–0
- 17 Feb · A v Al Hussein 2–3
- 10 Feb · H v Al Hussein 0–1
- 24 Dec · A v Muharraq 3–0
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.