Gamba Osaka
10:00
Buriram United
Wed 28 Oct, 10:00
Panasonic Stadium Suita
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 79%Books 81% Best odds 1.21 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 58%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 53%Bookmakers 58%
Edge -4.7 pts
Uncertainty ±3.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 58% (-4.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGamba Osaka
DWDWL
- 24 Oct · H v Kyoto Sanga 2–2 (xG 1.44–1.35)
- 21 Oct · A v Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 (xG 0.60–0.76)
- 17 Oct · A v Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 (xG 1.23–0.77)
- 13 Oct · A v Newcastle Jets 3–1 (xG 2.01–0.80)
- 9 Oct · A v Kashima 0–2 (xG 1.71–1.24)
Buriram United
LWLWW
- 24 Oct · H v Sisaket United 2–3 (xG 2.17–1.12)
- 18 Oct · A v Pattani 1–0 (xG 1.65–0.18)
- 13 Oct · H v Beijing Guoan 0–1 (xG 1.00–0.64)
- 10 Oct · H v Rayong FC 3–2 (xG 3.15–0.29)
- 20 Sep · A v Chonburi FC 1–0
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.