Lech Poznan
1–1
Sunderland
Thu 22 Oct, 16:45
Stadion Miejski
Balazs Berke
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
31%
Bookmakers 23%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 52%
Us 45%Bookmakers 52%
Edge -7.6 pts
Uncertainty ±3.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 45% against a market price of 52% (-7.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLech Poznan
WLWWL
- 18 Oct · H v Korona Kielce 6–1 (xG 2.32–1.25)
- 15 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 0–4 (xG 0.57–5.22)
- 10 Oct · A v Slask Wroclaw 4–1 (xG 2.04–0.84)
- 20 Sep · H v Radomiak Radom 5–1 (xG 3.98–0.98)
- 17 Sep · A v Crystal Palace 0–4
Sunderland
LWLLW
- 18 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–2 (xG 0.13–4.40)
- 15 Oct · A v Torreense 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.08)
- 10 Oct · H v Brighton 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.41)
- 20 Sep · A v Manchester City 3–5 (xG 3.57–2.82)
- 16 Sep · H v AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (xG 2.90–1.49)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.