Ajax
2–0
Atalanta
Thu 22 Oct, 19:00
Johan Cruijff Arena
A. Nobre
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
49%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 49%Bookmakers 46%
Edge +3.0 pts
Uncertainty ±3.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 49% against a market price of 46% (+3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAjax
WLDDW
- 18 Oct · A v Groningen 5–2 (xG 3.04–2.29)
- 15 Oct · A v HNK Hajduk Split 1–2 (xG 1.15–1.99)
- 10 Oct · H v NEC Nijmegen 1–1 (xG 1.78–1.05)
- 19 Sep · H v Excelsior 2–2 (xG 2.51–0.82)
- 15 Sep · H v Willem II 5–1 (xG 3.79–1.58)
Atalanta
LWWLL
- 18 Oct · A v AC Milan 2–3 (xG 1.71–2.49)
- 15 Oct · H v Pafos 3–1 (xG 3.47–0.91)
- 12 Oct · H v Venezia 3–1 (xG 2.26–2.54)
- 20 Sep · A v Juventus 0–2 (xG 0.60–1.31)
- 12 Sep · H v Cagliari 1–2 (xG 1.74–1.32)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.