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FC Thun
0–1
HNK Hajduk Split
Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 Stockhorn Arena J. Gillett

Match result: no bet

Won
Home win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 43%Bookmakers 41% Edge +2.1 pts Uncertainty ±3.0%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.1% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 43% against a market price of 41% (+2.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

FC Thun

LLWLL
  • 15 Oct · A v Twente 0–1 (xG 0.20–2.18)
  • 10 Oct · A v FC Zurich 2–4 (xG 1.46–0.94)
  • 20 Sep · A v FC Vaduz 2–1 (xG 1.70–2.77)
  • 16 Sep · H v Servette FC 2–4 (xG 2.05–1.52)
  • 12 Sep · H v Grasshoppers 0–1 (xG 1.67–2.26)

HNK Hajduk Split

WWWLW
  • 18 Oct · H v NK Varazdin 1–0 (xG 1.43–1.25)
  • 15 Oct · H v Ajax 2–1 (xG 1.99–1.15)
  • 10 Oct · H v Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 (xG 1.05–1.39)
  • 20 Sep · A v HNK Rijeka 0–3 (xG 1.28–1.46)
  • 13 Sep · H v NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 (xG 0.68–0.36)

Head-to-head

No previous meeting stored.