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AC Oulu
16:00
VPS
Wed 28 Oct, 16:00 OTC Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 76%Books 75% Best odds 1.29 (Betfair)

Match result: no bet

Home win
42%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 42%Bookmakers 39% Edge +2.3 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.3% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 42% against a market price of 39% (+2.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

AC Oulu

WWLWL
  • 24 Oct · A v Gnistan 4–3 (xG 1.85–1.34)
  • 17 Oct · A v Inter Turku 2–1 (xG 0.75–2.29)
  • 12 Oct · H v HJK Helsinki 3–4 (xG 1.76–3.44)
  • 8 Oct · A v KuPS 1–0 (xG 0.74–1.77)
  • 18 Sep · H v Inter Turku 0–1

VPS

LLWLL
  • 24 Oct · H v Inter Turku 0–1 (xG 0.33–0.98)
  • 18 Oct · A v KuPS 0–2 (xG 0.80–1.69)
  • 12 Oct · H v Gnistan 1–0 (xG 1.73–0.61)
  • 8 Oct · A v HJK Helsinki 0–6
  • 19 Sep · H v KuPS 0–2

Head-to-head

AC Oulu 3 · draws 0 · VPS 3, 3.3 goals a game

  • 8 Sep 2026 · VPS 1–0 AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga)
  • 23 Jun 2026 · VPS 5–1 AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga)
  • 18 Apr 2026 · AC Oulu 1–0 VPS (Veikkausliiga)
  • 4 Oct 2025 · AC Oulu 2–0 VPS (Veikkausliiga)
  • 28 Jun 2025 · AC Oulu 2–1 VPS (Veikkausliiga)
  • 5 Apr 2025 · VPS 4–3 AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga)