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KuPS
17:00
Gnistan
Thu 29 Oct, 17:00 Vare Areena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
63%
Bookmakers 66%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 63%Bookmakers 66% Edge -3.4 pts Uncertainty ±2.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-6.2% expected per unit).

  • Home win: 63% against a market price of 66% (-3.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

KuPS

DLWLL
  • 25 Oct · A v HJK Helsinki 2–2 (xG 2.09–1.32)
  • 22 Oct · A v Borac Banja Luka 0–2 (xG 0.65–2.13)
  • 18 Oct · H v VPS 2–0 (xG 1.69–0.80)
  • 15 Oct · H v Trabzonspor 2–4 (xG 2.07–3.54)
  • 11 Oct · A v Inter Turku 0–1 (xG 0.21–2.48)

Gnistan

LLLDD
  • 24 Oct · H v AC Oulu 3–4 (xG 1.34–1.85)
  • 17 Oct · A v HJK Helsinki 0–4 (xG 0.55–3.89)
  • 12 Oct · A v VPS 0–1 (xG 0.61–1.73)
  • 7 Oct · H v Inter Turku 0–0
  • 18 Sep · H v HJK Helsinki 1–1

Head-to-head

KuPS 4 · draws 2 · Gnistan 0, 3.0 goals a game

  • 8 Sep 2026 · Gnistan 1–1 KuPS (Veikkausliiga)
  • 1 Aug 2026 · Gnistan 0–1 KuPS (Veikkausliiga)
  • 11 Apr 2026 · KuPS 1–0 Gnistan (Veikkausliiga)
  • 30 Oct 2025 · KuPS 1–1 Gnistan (Veikkausliiga)
  • 27 Sep 2025 · Gnistan 0–4 KuPS (Veikkausliiga)
  • 1 Jul 2025 · KuPS 6–2 Gnistan (Veikkausliiga)