Bayer Leverkusen
19:45
1. FC Nürnberg
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
BayArena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
83%
Bookmakers 84%
Draw
11%
Bookmakers 10%
Away win
7%
Bookmakers 6%
Us 83%Bookmakers 84%
Edge -1.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-2.6% expected per unit).
- Home win: 83% against a market price of 84% (-1.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBayer Leverkusen
LWWWW
- 25 Oct · A v 1899 Hoffenheim 0–3 (xG 0.68–3.34)
- 22 Oct · A v OFI 2–0 (xG 3.42–0.28)
- 18 Oct · H v SC Freiburg 2–1 (xG 1.67–1.08)
- 15 Oct · A v Lech Poznan 4–0 (xG 5.22–0.57)
- 10 Oct · A v FSV Mainz 05 4–3 (xG 1.69–2.87)
1. FC Nürnberg
LDDWW
- 24 Oct · H v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–1 (xG 2.18–0.88)
- 16 Oct · A v Energie Cottbus 1–1 (xG 1.37–1.91)
- 10 Oct · H v VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 (xG 2.38–3.71)
- 19 Sep · A v Karlsruher SC 1–0 (xG 0.81–0.43)
- 11 Sep · H v Hannover 96 2–1 (xG 2.15–1.26)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.