Bayern München
19:45
1. FC Magdeburg
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45
Allianz Arena
Harm Osmers
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 94%Books 94% Best odds 1.05 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
93%
Bookmakers 93%
Draw
5%
Bookmakers 5%
Away win
2%
Bookmakers 2%
Us 93%Bookmakers 93%
Edge -0.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.0%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 93% against a market price of 93% (-0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBayern München
WDWDD
- 25 Oct · A v SC Freiburg 3–1 (xG 3.05–0.97)
- 21 Oct · H v Arsenal 2–2 (xG 2.50–1.71)
- 17 Oct · H v RB Leipzig 6–1 (xG 3.48–0.90)
- 13 Oct · A v Viking 3–3 (xG 3.51–0.56)
- 10 Oct · A v FC Augsburg 2–2 (xG 4.96–2.37)
1. FC Magdeburg
WLWDW
- 24 Oct · H v Karlsruher SC 6–1 (xG 2.75–0.73)
- 18 Oct · A v Dynamo Dresden 0–2 (xG 0.93–2.13)
- 10 Oct · H v Hannover 96 3–0 (xG 1.37–0.91)
- 18 Sep · A v SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 (xG 0.90–0.70)
- 12 Sep · H v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 (xG 1.12–1.08)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.