VfL Bochum
17:00
FSV Mainz 05
Tue 27 Oct, 17:00
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
54%
Bookmakers 52%
Us 54%Bookmakers 52%
Edge +1.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.5% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 54% against a market price of 52% (+1.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVfL Bochum
DLLLD
- 23 Oct · H v VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 (xG 1.59–0.78)
- 17 Oct · A v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–2 (xG 0.61–2.37)
- 11 Oct · H v Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 (xG 0.53–1.52)
- 20 Sep · A v Hannover 96 1–2 (xG 1.73–1.77)
- 12 Sep · H v SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 (xG 1.53–1.64)
FSV Mainz 05
LWLWL
- 24 Oct · H v Werder Bremen 2–3
- 17 Oct · A v FC Schalke 04 1–0 (xG 1.53–0.33)
- 10 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 3–4 (xG 2.87–1.69)
- 19 Sep · A v Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–3 (xG 2.82–3.24)
- 12 Sep · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 (xG 2.12–2.04)
Head-to-head
VfL Bochum 0 · draws 0 · FSV Mainz 05 2, 3.5 goals a game
- 10 May 2025 · VfL Bochum 1–4 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- 11 Jan 2025 · FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum (Bundesliga)