Borussia Dortmund
19:45
Werder Bremen
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
Signal Iduna Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
70%
Bookmakers 71%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
12%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 70%Bookmakers 71%
Edge -0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±1.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.1% expected per unit).
- Home win: 70% against a market price of 71% (-0.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBorussia Dortmund
WWDLD
- 24 Oct · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0
- 20 Oct · A v Sabah FA 2–1 (xG 3.75–1.53)
- 17 Oct · A v Union Berlin 0–0 (xG 1.42–0.90)
- 14 Oct · A v Bodo/Glimt 0–1 (xG 0.85–1.20)
- 9 Oct · H v Werder Bremen 2–2 (xG 2.42–1.13)
Werder Bremen
WDDWD
- 24 Oct · A v FSV Mainz 05 3–2
- 17 Oct · H v SC Paderborn 07 2–2 (xG 2.87–1.01)
- 9 Oct · A v Borussia Dortmund 2–2 (xG 1.13–2.42)
- 19 Sep · H v FC Augsburg 3–2 (xG 2.78–1.12)
- 12 Sep · A v 1. FC Köln 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.65)
Head-to-head
Borussia Dortmund 2 · draws 3 · Werder Bremen 0, 2.6 goals a game
- 9 Oct 2026 · Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 16 May 2026 · Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
- 13 Jan 2026 · Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 25 Jan 2025 · Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 31 Aug 2024 · Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)