Borussia Dortmund
19:45
Werder Bremen
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
Signal Iduna Park
Robert Schroder
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 88%Books 87% Best odds 1.13 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
69%
Bookmakers 69%
Draw
18%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 13%
Us 69%Bookmakers 69%
Edge -0.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.2%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 69% against a market price of 69% (-0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBorussia Dortmund
WWDLD
- 24 Oct · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 (xG 1.56–0.91)
- 20 Oct · A v Sabah FA 2–1 (xG 3.75–1.53)
- 17 Oct · A v Union Berlin 0–0 (xG 1.42–0.90)
- 14 Oct · A v Bodo/Glimt 0–1 (xG 0.85–1.20)
- 9 Oct · H v Werder Bremen 2–2 (xG 2.42–1.13)
Werder Bremen
WDDWD
- 24 Oct · A v FSV Mainz 05 3–2 (xG 2.58–1.73)
- 17 Oct · H v SC Paderborn 07 2–2 (xG 2.87–1.01)
- 9 Oct · A v Borussia Dortmund 2–2 (xG 1.13–2.42)
- 19 Sep · H v FC Augsburg 3–2 (xG 2.78–1.12)
- 12 Sep · A v 1. FC Köln 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.65)
Head-to-head
Borussia Dortmund 2 · draws 3 · Werder Bremen 0, 2.6 goals a game
- 9 Oct 2026 · Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 16 May 2026 · Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
- 13 Jan 2026 · Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 25 Jan 2025 · Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 31 Aug 2024 · Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)