SV Elversberg
19:45
SV Darmstadt 98
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Daniel Schlager
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 86%Books 86% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
68%
Bookmakers 70%
Draw
18%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
14%
Bookmakers 13%
Us 68%Bookmakers 70%
Edge -1.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 68% against a market price of 70% (-1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSV Elversberg
LWLDL
- 24 Oct · A v RB Leipzig 0–4 (xG 0.68–2.91)
- 17 Oct · H v FC Augsburg 4–3 (xG 3.69–3.51)
- 10 Oct · A v Union Berlin 0–1 (xG 0.24–1.13)
- 20 Sep · A v FC Schalke 04 0–0 (xG 1.01–1.01)
- 13 Sep · H v Bayern München 1–2 (xG 0.94–2.83)
SV Darmstadt 98
DLWLW
- 23 Oct · H v FC St. Pauli 0–0 (xG 0.81–1.91)
- 18 Oct · A v Karlsruher SC 0–4 (xG 0.53–1.24)
- 10 Oct · H v Energie Cottbus 3–1 (xG 1.42–1.49)
- 18 Sep · A v VfL Wolfsburg 1–5 (xG 1.23–1.72)
- 11 Sep · H v Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 (xG 1.86–1.24)
Head-to-head
SV Elversberg 2 · draws 2 · SV Darmstadt 98 0, 3.3 goals a game
- 25 Apr 2026 · SV Darmstadt 98 3–3 SV Elversberg (2. Bundesliga)
- 30 Nov 2025 · SV Elversberg 0–0 SV Darmstadt 98 (2. Bundesliga)
- 8 Feb 2025 · SV Darmstadt 98 0–3 SV Elversberg (2. Bundesliga)
- 31 Aug 2024 · SV Elversberg 4–0 SV Darmstadt 98 (2. Bundesliga)