1. FC Köln
19:45
Union Berlin
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
RheinEnergieStadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 50%Bookmakers 53%
Edge -3.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 53% (-3.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitions1. FC Köln
DLWLD
- 24 Oct · H v FC Schalke 04 0–0
- 16 Oct · A v Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 (xG 0.82–1.84)
- 11 Oct · H v Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 (xG 1.32–1.17)
- 19 Sep · A v Hamburger SV 1–2
- 12 Sep · H v Werder Bremen 1–1 (xG 1.65–1.12)
Union Berlin
DDWLL
- 24 Oct · A v FC Augsburg 1–1
- 17 Oct · H v Borussia Dortmund 0–0 (xG 0.90–1.42)
- 10 Oct · H v SV Elversberg 1–0 (xG 1.13–0.24)
- 18 Sep · A v Bayern München 0–7 (xG 0.34–3.71)
- 11 Sep · H v FC Schalke 04 1–3 (xG 1.95–2.52)
Head-to-head
1. FC Köln 0 · draws 1 · Union Berlin 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga)
- 20 Dec 2025 · 1. FC Köln 0–1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)