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1. FC Köln
19:45
Union Berlin
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 RheinEnergieStadion Sven Jablonski
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.21 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
51%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 51%Bookmakers 53% Edge -2.0 pts Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 51% against a market price of 53% (-2.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

1. FC Köln

DLWLD
  • 24 Oct · H v FC Schalke 04 0–0 (xG 1.29–0.66)
  • 16 Oct · A v Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 (xG 0.82–1.84)
  • 11 Oct · H v Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 (xG 1.32–1.17)
  • 19 Sep · A v Hamburger SV 1–2
  • 12 Sep · H v Werder Bremen 1–1 (xG 1.65–1.12)

Union Berlin

DDWLL
  • 24 Oct · A v FC Augsburg 1–1 (xG 1.24–1.91)
  • 17 Oct · H v Borussia Dortmund 0–0 (xG 0.90–1.42)
  • 10 Oct · H v SV Elversberg 1–0 (xG 1.13–0.24)
  • 18 Sep · A v Bayern München 0–7 (xG 0.34–3.71)
  • 11 Sep · H v FC Schalke 04 1–3 (xG 1.95–2.52)

Head-to-head

1. FC Köln 0 · draws 1 · Union Berlin 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 2 May 2026 · Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga)
  • 20 Dec 2025 · 1. FC Köln 0–1 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)