SC Freiburg
17:00
VfL Wolfsburg
Wed 28 Oct, 17:00
Europa-Park Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
65%
Bookmakers 67%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 65%Bookmakers 67%
Edge -1.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.9% expected per unit).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 67% (-1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSC Freiburg
LLLWW
- 25 Oct · H v Bayern München 1–3 (xG 0.97–3.05)
- 22 Oct · A v Monaco 0–3 (xG 0.83–1.25)
- 18 Oct · A v Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 (xG 1.08–1.67)
- 15 Oct · H v FK Jablonec 3–2 (xG 1.87–1.18)
- 11 Oct · H v FC Schalke 04 2–1 (xG 1.15–0.32)
VfL Wolfsburg
DWDWL
- 23 Oct · A v VfL Bochum 1–1 (xG 0.78–1.59)
- 17 Oct · H v 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 (xG 1.68–2.04)
- 10 Oct · A v 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 (xG 3.71–2.38)
- 18 Sep · H v SV Darmstadt 98 5–1 (xG 1.72–1.23)
- 12 Sep · A v FC St. Pauli 0–1 (xG 0.54–0.93)
Head-to-head
SC Freiburg 3 · draws 1 · VfL Wolfsburg 0, 3.8 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)
- 20 Dec 2025 · VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- 26 Apr 2025 · VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- 13 Dec 2024 · SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)