SC Freiburg
17:00
VfL Wolfsburg
Wed 28 Oct, 17:00
Europa-Park-Stadion
Soren Storks
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 88%Books 87% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
62%
Bookmakers 64%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 62%Bookmakers 64%
Edge -2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 62% against a market price of 64% (-2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSC Freiburg
LLLWW
- 25 Oct · H v Bayern München 1–3 (xG 0.97–3.05)
- 22 Oct · A v Monaco 0–3 (xG 0.83–1.25)
- 18 Oct · A v Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 (xG 1.08–1.67)
- 15 Oct · H v FK Jablonec 3–2 (xG 1.87–1.18)
- 11 Oct · H v FC Schalke 04 2–1 (xG 1.15–0.32)
VfL Wolfsburg
DWDWL
- 23 Oct · A v VfL Bochum 1–1 (xG 0.78–1.59)
- 17 Oct · H v 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 (xG 1.68–2.04)
- 10 Oct · A v 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 (xG 3.71–2.38)
- 18 Sep · H v SV Darmstadt 98 5–1 (xG 1.72–1.23)
- 12 Sep · A v FC St. Pauli 0–1 (xG 0.54–0.93)
Head-to-head
SC Freiburg 3 · draws 1 · VfL Wolfsburg 0, 3.8 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)
- 20 Dec 2025 · VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- 26 Apr 2025 · VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- 13 Dec 2024 · SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)